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FrontRow · Aug 10, 2026

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U.S. Treasury yields inched lower at the start of the week as investors look ahead to a busy week of economic data, with particular focus on a key inflation reading. At 3:58 a.m. ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was down just over 1 basis point, and the 30-year Treasury bond similarly declined 1 basis point. The 2-year Treasury note yield was trading just above the flatline. A softer-than-expected July nonfarm payrolls report last week weakened expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Deutsche Bank analysts said in a note on Monday that the weaker data "reduced the urgency for further Fed tightening in the near term." Traders are now pricing in a nearly 44% chance that the central bank will raise rates at its September meeting, down from a 67% reading seen a week prior, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

U.S. Treasury yields inched lower at the start of the week as investors look ahead to a busy week of economic data, with particular focus on a key inflation reading. At 3:58 a.m. ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was down just over 1 basis point, and the 30-year Treasury bond similarly declined 1 basis point. The 2-year Treasury note yield was trading just above the flatline. A softer-than-expected July nonfarm payrolls report last week weakened expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Deutsche Bank analysts said in a note on Monday that the weaker data "reduced the urgency for further Fed tightening in the near term." Traders are now pricing in a nearly 44% chance that the central bank will raise rates at its September meeting, down from a 67% reading seen a week prior, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

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