Mark Kennedy · Nov 3, 2026
Mark Kennedy — text status
My brain tells me House D, Senate R. The last two midterms saw the incumbent party hold the Senate while losing the House. Personally, I'd lean to a 50-50 Senate, with Fetterman and Vance helping to confirm judges. But my gut (just a feeling) tells me we're looking at a total Republican wipeout. The surge in low-propensity Democratic voters showing up is the one real red flag I'm concerned about. Everything hinges on turnout. This is a tough midterm to predict, we could witness one of the biggest polling misses in a long time since Rs don't respond to polls as the NYT suggests. Good luck and Get out and vote!!!
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