Shea Levin — text status

U.S. officials increasingly believe China is unlikely to invade Taiwan before 2028, as delays in the Chinese military’s readiness and Beijing’s focus on Taiwan’s next presidential election appear to be pushing back the immediate risk of conflict. Reuters reports. Officials believe Beijing is hoping the 2028 election brings a government more receptive to closer ties with China. If President Lai Ching-te or his Democratic Progressive Party remains in power, however, U.S. officials believe the risk of China considering military action could rise after 2028.